72.0% model accuracy · 175 matches tracked · upset detection live
AI-powered predictions across all 6 clay events — with surface-blended ELO that knows who actually shows up on dirt. Powered by 945K+ matches of historical data.
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0.0%
VERIFIED ACCURACY
175+
PREDICTIONS TRACKED
945K
MATCHES ANALYZED
4
ML MODELS
Next match in
PLAYERS TO WATCH
#1
Bastad
Casper Ruud
ELO 2385↑
Clay: 74%
28.5% title odds
#2
Bastad
Andrey Rublev
ELO 2350→
Clay: 65%
19.2% title odds
#8
Bastad
Mariano Navone
ELO 2110↑
Clay: 68%
6.4% title odds
#3
Gstaad
Alexander Bublik
ELO 2240↑
Clay: 52%
12.8% title odds
#4
Gstaad
Stefanos Tsitsipas
ELO 2295→
Clay: 69%
22.1% title odds
#
Gstaad
Dominic Stricker
ELO 1985↑
Clay: 55%
3.1% title odds
#1
Umag
Francisco Cerundolo
ELO 2265↑
Clay: 71%
26.3% title odds
#5
Umag
Luciano Darderi
ELO 2145↑
Clay: 70%
11.7% title odds
#
Umag
Dino Prizmic
ELO 2010↑
Clay: 63%
5.9% title odds
#2
Kitzbuhel
Sebastian Baez
ELO 2160→
Clay: 72%
18.4% title odds
#4
Kitzbuhel
Tomas Etcheverry
ELO 2105→
Clay: 66%
10.2% title odds
#3
Estoril
Nuno Borges
ELO 2130↑
Clay: 64%
14.6% title odds
AWAITING FEED· first feed loads when fixtures post
SURFACE INTELLIGENCE
Why Clay Breaks Prediction Models
Hard-court ELO massively overrates hard-court specialists on dirt. Match Analytics uses surface-blended ELO — 50/50 overall + clay-specific — so the model sees who actually performs on this surface. The gap column below is the difference the market usually misses.
PLAYER
OVERALL ELO
CLAY ELO
GAP
Alexander Bublik
2240
2085
-155
Luciano Darderi
2145
2290
+145
Casper Ruud
2385
2520
+135
Sebastian Baez
2160
2295
+135
Francisco Cerundolo
2265
2395
+130
Tallon Griekspoor
2185
2105
-80
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2295
2355
+60
▲ Positive gap — clay specialist, model upgrades them on dirt▼ Negative gap — hard-court specialist, market overrates them here
Reference ELO — updates automatically once live draws load
ML Predictions
4-model ensemble powered by 945K+ historical matches. Win probabilities for every match.
Upset Detection
Real-time alerts when lower-ranked players have elevated win probability against top seeds.
Value Bets
Edge analysis comparing model probabilities against market odds. Kelly criterion sizing.
Accuracy Tracking
Full transparency — every prediction stored and verified against real results.
US OPEN SERIES 2026
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